Strategy02/15/2026
Preparation Mindset
Validate first, open later
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Numbers You MUST Know Before Opening
???
Total Investment
Build-out + equipment + ingredients + permits + working capital + contingency.
??? months
Payback Period
Must be under 18 months. Over 24 months = too risky.
??? customers
Customers/Day to Break Even
Total fixed costs / (avg. ticket - avg. COGS). Is this number realistic?
??? months
Months You Can Sustain Losses
How long can you survive if revenue = 0? Need at least 3-6 months.
Before opening, you should be able to answer:
- >How much capital do I have? How much is borrowed? What's the monthly interest rate?
- >How long am I willing to accept losses? (Typically 3-6 months needed)
- >If I'm still losing money at month 6, can I afford to keep going?
- >Do I have F&B management experience? If not, who will help? At what cost?
- >Have I surveyed at least 5 competitors in the area? What do they sell, and at what prices?
- >How many customers per day do I need to break even? Is that realistic for this location?
- >Do I have a Plan B if revenue only reaches 60% of projections? (Which costs to cut? How to downsize?)
- >Who will manage when I'm away? Are operations standardized?
- >Am I prepared to work 12-14 hours a day for the first 6 months?
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